30 June 2012

Some Initial Observations Regarding the SCOTUS Obamacare Decision

After having gone through portions of the decision, I have compiled some initial observations regarding the SCOTUS’ decision to partially uphold two major provisions of Obamacare.  The first contested provision was the Individual Mandate requiring the purchasing a basic level of healthcare insurance or face a penalty.  The second was the provision to expand of the Medicaid program to cover all individuals that are 133% and below on the federal poverty scale.  This provision required the States to participate in the expansion or face the threat of losing all of their Medicaid funding if they don’t comply. 

I have put the observations in bullet format to make them easier to read and to keep me from making this post longer than it needs to be.  As I continue to move through the decision, I will post additional observations and insights.

·         The SCOTUS opinion states Individual Mandate “penalty” is really a tax.

o   The “individual mandate must be construed as imposing a tax on those who do not have health insurance.” (Syllabus pg. 3)

o   “CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS delivered the opinion of the Court with respect to Part III–C, concluding that the individual mandate may be upheld as within Congress’s power under the Taxing Clause.” (Syllabus pg. 4)

o    This takes the administration of the provision out of the hands of the federal bureaucracy and puts it into Congress where it belongs.  

o   Allows for a 51 vote repeal of the IM in the Senate rather than a filibuster proof 60 if had been upheld as a “penalty.”

 

·         Throws out Medicaid expansion provision.

o   Disallows HHS to cut all Medicaid funding if a state does not choose to provide healthcare coverage for all individuals who are under 133% of the federal poverty line (includes income ranges from $14,865 for a single individual to $51,724 for a family of eight).

§  “The Medicaid expansion thus violates the Constitution by threatening States with the loss of their existing Medicaid funding if they decline to comply with the expansion…  The constitutional violation is fully remedied by precluding the Secretary from applying §1396c to withdraw existing Medicaid funds for failure to comply with the requirements set out in the expansion.” (Syllabus pg. 5)

o   Retains a semblance of state sovereignty via the referencing the 10th Amendment.

§  “’[T]he Constitution simply does not give Congress the authority to require the States to regulate.’  New York v. United States, 505 U. S. 144, 178.  When Congress threatens to terminate other grants as a means of pressuring the States to accept a Spending Clause program, the legislation runs counter to this Nation’s system of federalism.” (Syllabus pg. 5)

o   Shuts down any attempt to force a single payer system through expansion of the Medicaid program as it is currently constituted and forcing states to comply with that expansion.

§  “CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS, joined by JUSTICE BREYER and JUSTICE KAGAN, concluded in Part IV that the Medicaid expansion violates the Constitution by threatening States with the loss of their existing Medicaid funding if they decline to comply with the expansion.” (Syllabus pg. 4)

§  “The threatened loss of over 10 percent of a State’s overall budget is economic dragooning that leaves the States with no real option but to acquiesce in the Medicaid expansion.” (Syllabus pg. 5)

o   Now requires a massive, public legislative attempt in order to create a single payer program rather than solely expanding current programs beyond their original intent.

 

·         Reiterated that the SCOTUS is there strictly to determine the constitutionality of a law.

o   It is not in the SCOTUS’ authority to determine whether a law is good policy or not.

§  “Members of this Court are vested with the authority to interpret the law; we possess neither the expertise nor the prerogative to make policy judgments.” (Decision pg. 2)

o   It is not the SCOTUS’ place to save voters from the legislative actions of those they elect.  That is what elections are for.  Unless, of course, that legislation is unconstitutional in nature. 

§  “Those decisions are entrusted to our Nation’s elected leaders, who can be thrown out of office if the people disagree with them.  It is not our job to protect the people from the consequences of their political choices.” (Decision Pg. 2)

 

·         Government being able to force someone from inaction to action, i.e. purchasing a product of service solely because the government mandates it, is not a constitutionally viable argument under either the Commerce Clause.

o   This really narrows the wiggle room for those who are pushing for a government mandated single payer healthcare system.

o   “Allowing Congress to justify federal regulation by pointing to the effect of inaction on commerce would bring countless decisions an individual could potentially make within the scope of federal regulation, and—under the Government’s theory—empower Congress to make those decisions for him.” (Decision pg. 21)

o   “Under the Government’s logic, that authorizes Congress to use its commerce power to compel citizens to act as the Government would have them act…  That is not the country the Framers of our Constitution envisioned.” (Decision pg. 23)

o   “The language of the Constitution reflects the natural understanding that the power to regulate assumes there is already something to be regulated.” ( Decision pg. 19)

o   “The power to regulate commerce presupposes the existence of commercial activity to be regulated.  If the power to “regulate” something included the power to create it, many of the provisions in the Constitution would be superfluous.” (Decision pg. 18)

As the reader can clearly see, this was not the big win that supporters of Obamacare claim it to be nor is it the horrible loss that many opponents claim.  Obamacare is still very much alive and kicking to the joy or chagrin of Americans depending on their particular stance.  So, for the time being, the Obama Administration will continue to move towards implementation at a breakneck speed.  As everyone generally agrees on, there will be no changes to or repealing of Obamacare in the near future due to the political makeup of Congress.  The two big questions that now remain is how far will implementation get before January 2013, when the results of the upcoming elections take hold, and what changes, if any, will be made from that point on.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

29 June 2012

How I Would Spin Yesterday’s Obamacare Decision if I were a Candidate.

With all the postering that has been going on since the Supreme Court's decision was handed down yesterday regarding Obamacare, I though I would create a list of how I would spin it if I were a candidate.

 

Republican:

·         Largest tax increase in history.

·         Will greatly effect the middle class and small business financially. Some to the point of ruin.

·         Will cause unemployment to sharply rise and the economy to stall.

·         The Democrats misled the nation on multiple occasions by claiming the penalty was not a tax in their attempt to rush the bill through.  Is this the party you want in charge?

·         Obama himself misled the nation about whether it was a penalty or a tax.  Do you want this guy to be your President if he can’t tell the truth?

·         There are at least 21 new taxes that will be levied.  7 of which will be on those who earn less than 250K per year.  Again Obama breaking one of his promises.

·         Republicans need to control both Congress and the Presidency so we can reverse this economic and freedom destroying monstrosity.

·         The Democrats tried to override the 10th Amendment and other Constitutional provisions by attempting to force states to insure all individuals under the 133% of poverty rate line or risk losing all Medicaid funding.

·         The increase in national debt from Obamacare will be massive and untenable.

·         Cuts by Obamacare to Medicare amounting to $500 billion is completely unacceptable.

·         Do you really want the Federal Government dictating what insurance coverage you have? Or do you want to be able to make the choice of what type of coverage you need?

·         Do you think the Federal Government can really effectively manage such an important issue as your health?  How well are they doing with Social Security, Medicare, the Postal System?

·         Republicans need to control Congress and the Presidency to keep the Democrats from expanding Obamacare and taking away more of Americans’ freedom to make their own choices in life.

·         It is each person’s responsibility to obtain health insurance.  It is not everyone else’s responsibility to pay if they choose not to.

 

Democrat:

·         The “tax” will only apply to those individuals and corporations who don’t want to pay their fair share.

·         The Supreme Court, most of which were appointed by Republicans, engaged in judicial activism by declaring the penalty for not purchasing healthcare as a tax.

·         Democrats needs to control Congress and the Presidency to be able to appoint judges who avoid the same type of judicial activism we saw in this decision and to improve and expand the provisions of the ACA.

·         It is our moral obligation as a nation to see that those who need healthcare coverage get it.

·         Without the ACA, the average person stands the chance of losing everything during a health crisis.

·         Everyone will have affordable healthcare and everyone will pay their fair share to help those who are unable to afford it or whose companies refuse to provide it for them.

·         Do you want greedy for-profit insurance companies or your employer determining your coverage and rates?  Or do you want a fair, cheap, and inclusive system for everyone?

·         Democrats need to control Congress and the Presidency to keep the Republicans from taking away healthcare from those that are the most vulnerable in favor of padding insurance companies bottom line.

 

Ron Paul:

·         Despite what I say about the Constitution, the Articles of Confederation is the ONLY way to go.

·         No federal government and very weak, toothless state governments.

·         If you can’t afford your own healthcare then you should just go home and die.

·         Not really.  Just a little poke at my Ron Paul supporting friends.  Regardless of what I think about some of his positions, his response to the decision yesterday was spot on.

 

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

18 May 2011

Canyon County Republicans' 32nd Annual Republican Roundup June 10th!

Roundup_flier

Come join the Canyon County Republicans for their 32nd annual Republican Roundup at the Ste. Chapelle Winery in Caldwell!

Tickets are $30 each with children 6-12 $15 and those 5 and under are free.

Come join the fun and support the Canyon County Republicans in their efforts. I hope to see you there.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

03 May 2011

Great Article by Reason Magazine About the Nationwide Movement of Education Reform.

This is a great article from the May 11th issue of Reason Magazine regarding the national move for education reform and its greatest opponent, teachers' unions. The article well thought out and written and is a must read for anyone interested in the subject.

http://reason.com/archives/2011/04/18/education-showdown/2

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

15 April 2011

Excellent Piece by Congressman Raul Labrador on How Tax Day Should Remind Us That We Don't Need More Taxes

labrador.congressnewsletter.net/mail/util.cfm?gpiv...gen=1

"As we prepare to file our income taxes it is important for all of us not to lose sight of the principles our nation was founded upon, not least of which were limited government and the rejection of an overwhelming tax burden."

This is a great piece by Congressman Labrador. He understands the problems we face financially as a country and will do anything in his power to help fix those problems and get this great country back on the right track.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

Test Message

It's been awhile since I have posted anything to this account so I just need to check and make sure things are still up and running.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

20 February 2011

A Twitter account named Union Thugs, which claims to be speaking for Idaho's teachers, wants to follow one of my Twitter accounts!

I love it! A Twitter account named Union Thugs, which claims to be speaking for Idaho's teachers, wants to follow one of my Twitter accounts. The major extent of their tweets are sending messages of a sarcastic and browbeating nature to legislators and supporters of Superintendent Luna's reform efforts. You would think that intelligent teachers could be a little more rational than that.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

04 January 2011

Text of Obamacare Repeal Legislation

Here is the text of the legislation designed to repeal Obamacare.  An amusing sidenote is that the bill is only 2 pages long whereas the Obamacare bill was over 2,000.  The debate on the bill is scheduled to begin Friday January 7th and the final floor vote is slated for Wednesday January 12th.  This should provide some of the best political television aired in the recent past.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

08 December 2010

U.S. vs. Assange/Wikileaks: Avenues and Pitfalls to Potential Criminal Prosecution (CRS Paper)

With all of the media attention on Julian Assange and Wikileaks that has been going on for the last several months, here is an informative Congressional Research Service report entitled Crimimal Prohibitions on the Publication of Classified Defense Information. It sheds some interesting light on the potential legal avenues and pitfalls that the U.S. Government may experience should they try to criminally prosecute Assange and/or his media collaborators over previous or future releases of Defense and State Department classified documents.

 

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

13 November 2010

A Good Introduction to the Congressional Appropriations Process

This is a good introduction to the Congressional Appropriations Process.  If you ever wondered how Congress decides on how much they will spend, this is a good initial way to learn about it.

 

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

12 November 2010

Kick a Dog One Too Many Times and They Will Bite! "Blue Dog" Turn on Nancy Pelosi With a Vengence.

Less than a year ago, Nancy Pelosi still appeared to be untouchable as the top Democratic leader in the House.  Now she has found herself facing stiff opposition to her attempts to retain a position of power in the Democratic caucus.  Many of these "Blue Dogs" are still angry over being forced into unpopular votes over issues such as stimulus spending, healthcare reform, Cap and Trade, and the subsequent pounding their ranks took from voters over these votes.  "Blue Dog" Democrats are now doing all they can to either defeat her efforts to win Minority Leader or severly curtail her power should she win the position. This should be an interesting struggle that will be publicly played out over the next couple of months between Pelosi, her liberal supporters and the remaining "Blue Dogs."  Despite who wins this internal power struggle, it will leave the House Democratic Caucus divided, embittered, and in disarray for at least the next year or two.  The moral of the story here is that if you kick a dog one too many times and they will bite.  Apparently Nancy Pelosi hasn't learned that lesson, yet.

 

Here are just a sampling of articles talking about the stiff resistence that Nancy Pelosi is facing regarding her attempt to become the Minority Leader in the House:

Nancy Pelosi faces new resistance from Democrats  http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44969.html

Top Blue Dog calls for Pelosi to quit  http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44710.html

Anti-Pelosi lawmakers target DCCC    http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=3CBA06AE-D646-97A9-49791FB86BA5E0EA

Democrats pressing Pelosi to step aside  http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/11/AR2010111105582.html

Term limits for Pelosi's allies?  http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/11/AR2010111107834.html

Democrat Not Supporting Pelosi For Minority Leader  http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2010/11/08/democrat_not_supporting_pelosi_for_minority_leader.html

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

09 November 2010

A Simple Way to Start Reforming the Way Congress Works

House Republican lawmakers, as well as many Republican congressional candidates, have made a variety of promises they intend to carry out should they be given control of the U.S. House of Representatives.  Two documents can be considered capstones of these Republican promises. A Pledge to America appeared on the political scene during the election and then Rep. Cantor’s Delivering on Our Commitment coming shortly after the mid-term election was over.  Both of these documents contain excellent proposals and add to the Republican rhetoric about changing the way Congress does business, making government more efficient and accountable, and doing the work the voters sent them there to do.  However, one very simple, yet powerful, reform is missing. 

This simple reform is nothing more than only allowing germane amendments to a piece of legislation or appropriations bill.  This idea is neither novel nor rarely seen.  Many states have this prohibition in place.  In some states (Washington being an excellent example), if a piece of legislation or voter initiative addresses more than one issue it can be, and usually is, ruled unconstitutional by the court system.  So if a legislator wants to create a carbon tax by amending a must pass bill addressing a serious yet unrelated issue it would not be allowed.  By only allowing germane amendments, unpopular ideas and proposals that could not pass on their own accord are prevented from being concealed in popular or must pass pieces of legislation at the state level and would do wonders at the national level. 

If the states see the necessity of a requirement for germane amendments, why doesn’t Congress?  Currently any amendment can be added to any bill regardless of whether the amendment addresses the same issue or not.  This tactic has been a way for unpopular or controversial items to be limped through the legislative process with little to no opposition or debate.  By adding an amendment on an issue opposed by one party’s legislators into a bill relating to an issue those legislators have agreed to support, it creates a catch 22 situation.  If they vote for the bill, they will be beaten up by their constituents for allowing such an issue to get past them.  On the other hand, if they vote against the legislation because of the issue amended in, these legislators will be excoriated for not being willing to support the special interest or its funding they had agreed to support.  For example, language repealing Don’t Ask Don’t Tell is addressed in the military appropriations bill.  What does repealing DADT have to do with military appropriations?  Nothing.  But the military appropriations bill is seen as must pass and an easy way to jam DADT with little resistance due to its inability to be passed as an individual piece of legislation.  This creates a problem for Republicans and some moderate Democrats.  If they don’t support the military appropriations bill then the merciless attacks of being unsupportive of the military will come from the press and others during the next election cycle.  Should they vote for the bill with DADT repeal language securely embedded, they run the risk of angering sections of their base and could find themselves in serious trouble the next election cycle (as well as receiving phone calls from constituents and supporters expressing their frustration and anger over its passage in the meantime). 

So what can Congress do about this backdoor tactic used to pass unpopular and controversial legislative items?  Two options come to mind.  First, create a House rule prohibiting the use of this tactic.  This is the easiest and mostly a temporary remedy.  Under such a rule no amendments would be considered at the committee or floor levels that don’t meet the criteria for a germane amendment.  However, as we have seen over the last two years, rules can be suspended, easily changed, or outright ignored by the majority party when attempting to force through legislation that experiences strong opposition.  A House rule would be a suitable stopgap until either legislation is passed prohibiting the practice or, ideally, getting a Constitutional Amendment ratified creating a permanent ban. 

The second option would be to require some sort of constitutional authority statement on each piece of legislation.  This option has previously garnered support among House Republican during the elections.  Such a statement would include the article, section, and verbatim language from the Constitution stating where Congress derives the authority to enact the legislative mandate addressed in the specific piece of legislation. This statement should not be a multi-page dissertation, but a couple of paragraphs of discussion clearly outlining where Congress’ authority comes from and how the legislation fits into that authority.  The problem with this option is that an amendment may vaguely follow the constitutional authority statement but not the letter or spirit of the original legislation.  Thus it would be much more difficult to keep non-germane amendments, due to the potential for a myriad of grey areas for the amendment language to hide behind, from being amended into a piece of legislation than if the first option was in place.

Ideally, both of these options will be implemented to protect the American people from bad legislative mandates slipping through the system as an amendment rather than being dealt with on their own merits.  Banning the practice of adding non-germane amendments to any and all legislation would go a long way in creating a more open and transparent Congressional process.  After the last two years, the American people need as transparent a Congress as they can get.  Hopefully the Republican leaders heading up the U.S. House of Representatives will catch on to this idea and implement it.  It would go far in showing the American people how serious they are about what they have promised.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

29 September 2010

Great Ad from the College Republicans entitled "The Break Up"

This is a great ad that was created by the College Republicans.  It really shows, in my opinion, the change of heart by the younger generation that was so giddy over Obama in 2008.  Live and learn I guess.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

08 September 2010

Soon to be Speaker Boehner Speaking with George Stephanopoulos on GMA Regarding Two-Point Job Creation Plan.

The two points are cut spending and renew the Bush tax cuts.  What a concept to get government roadblocks out of the way and allow the private sector to do what it does best.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

Republican Study Committee Supports Two Point Plan of Spending Reduction and Prevention of 2011 Tax Hikes Outlined by Rep. Boehner Today

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

9.8.2010

Price Renews Call for Immediate Spending Reduction, Prevention of 2011 Tax Hikes
Supports Two-Point Plan Outlined Today by Leader Boehner

Washington, Sep 8 - Republican Study Committee Chairman Tom Price (R-GA) issued the following statement in strong support of the bipartisan two-point plan to address the economy and spending outlined by House Republican Leader John Boehner earlier today.  The RSC has been at the forefront of efforts to roll back next year’s spending to 2008 levels, save families and businesses from the looming 2011 tax hike, and prevent a Lame Duck Congress from overriding the will of the American public.

“Unrestrained deficit spending is a tsunami that threatens to drown America’s prospects for future prosperity,” said Chairman Price.  “The red ink is so overwhelming that this year Democrats cancelled the budget altogether.  Such recklessness weakens confidence in America’s fiscal health and puts families and businesses on the defensive.  Sanity demands that spending be immediately rolled back to where it was before the bailouts, government takeovers, and stimulus boondoggles.

“The job-killing tax hikes set to take effect next year threaten our economy just as much as the Democrats’ wild spending spree.  If left unchallenged, this tax hike will confiscate forty percent of many small businesses’ income.  That is a huge drag on our economy’s main producers and job creators.  We must act quickly to save families and businesses from the destructive effects of the largest tax increase in American history.

“Most Americans can see the common sense in these proposals, and the Republican Study Committee has long urged their adoption.  Time is running out, however, and any further delay from President Obama will leave our economy struggling for air.  We must not allow a Lame Duck Congress to push through more bloated spending and job-killing tax policies after the November election.”

Note: For the past two years, the RSC has introduced concrete, balanced budget proposals that would prevent the impending 2011 tax hikes and set spending at pre-bailout, pre-stimulus (Fiscal Year 2008) levels.  Additionally, the Lame Duck Resolution authored by RSC Chairman Tom Price forced House members to go on record for or against using a Lame Duck session of Congress to enact job-killing legislation – such as more bloated spending, tax hikes, card check, and a national energy tax – against the will of the American public.

###

Congressman Tom Price is Chairman of the Republican Study Committee (RSC).

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

05 September 2010

Should the Elite of Republican Party Worry About Tea Party Victories in November as Much as the Democratic Elite? I Would Be.

This is just another example of voter frustration.  One party doesn’t listen to what the voters want and then demean them when they get upset.  And the other makes big claims and then, upon gaining power, loses its nerve when attacked by their opponents and their media lapdogs.  The common view is that these new faces may actually have the fire to do what the voters want regardless of the uproar from the elitists and their allies demanding to go down a road that this country was never intended to be on in the first place.  The liberal democratic leadership will be no longer in control and I suspect that many of the current Republican minority leadership will be in for a fight for control of the caucus and its agenda.  The established elite of both parties are not well liked by voters and may find themselves looking in from the cold come 2011 when the tea party victors arrive in D.C.  This is one of the most interesting election cycles since 1994 when the Republican Revolution and Contract for America propelled Republicans into control of the House of Representatives and cleared the way for more Republican victories to come.  Let’s just hope that this one doesn’t crash and burn like the 1994 group did.

Republican New School Flexes Clout Ahead of November

By Judson Berger

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/09/05/republican-new-school-flexes-clout-ahead-november/

Democrats aren't the only incumbents in trouble this November. With a crop of feisty, fresh-faced conservatives making noise in the House and a wave of Tea Party-backed newcomers determined to join them, senior Republicans could have a mutiny on their hands. 

The gap between the old and new schools of the GOP has become apparent as Election Day nears and polls show Republicans increasingly likely to pick up seats -- lots of seats. 

Election guru Larry Sabato, at the University of Virginia, released new projections showing a possible 47-seat GOP pickup in the House. Gallup's latest generic poll showed Republicans with a 10-point lead over Democrats in the fall, the largest gap in 68 years. 

The opportunity for a shakeup is ripe, but so is the opportunity for a makeover of the Republican Party itself. 

"The Republican caucuses in the Senate and the House will change," Democratic strategist Kiki McLean said. "A dangerous place for Republicans to be is establishment leadership." 

Establishment leadership likely were not thrilled to read about the contents this past week of the upcoming book being published by self-proclaimed "Young Guns" Eric Cantor, Paul Ryan and Kevin McCarthy -- three ambitious young members of Congress who've been heading up recruitment of other like-minded wunderkinds for the party. 

Their book, "Young Guns: A New Generation of Conservative Leaders," is due out Sept. 14 -- a blueprint for America in the same vein as the policy book then-Sen. Barack Obama's campaign released in 2008, only with the opposite prescriptions. 

A summary in Politico.com based on an advance copy said House Republican Leader John Boehner is mentioned just three times in the book. House Republican Conference Chairman Mike Pence, R-Ind., is not mentioned at all, and other heavyweights like Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell are similarly disregarded. 

A promotional video paid for by Cantor's political committee, set to inspiring music, looks like an introduction for the starting lineup of an Olympics dream team. The video bluntly depicts the authors as a different kind of dream team -- the future of the Republican Party. 

"There is a better way and a new team is ready to bring America back," the narrator says. 

Ryan, R-Wis., has attracted considerable attention in the Obama years as the ranking Republican on the House Budget Committee. He's considered the policy wonk of the lot and played a big role laying out the economic argument against the health care overhaul at the height of that debate. He's also put out his own economic recovery blueprint, which he calls "A Roadmap for America's Future." 

Both he and McCarthy, R-Calif., were named in a recent list of the top five most powerful House Republicans compiled by GQ magazine. (The list intentionally excluded those in leadership positions.) The list also included Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., the oversight committee Republican notorious for pursuing investigations into whatever bothers him -- and more importantly, bothers Democrats. 

The three "Young Guns" lawmakers lead a program of the same name through the Republican National Congressional Committee that identifies and supports select conservative candidates. 

Boehner and Cantor, the House GOP whip, denied friction between them in an interview with Fox News in July following a report that suggested Cantor posed an upstart challenge to Boehner's command. 

"This is nothing but high school gossip kind of reporting," Cantor said at the time. 

"We work very well together," Boehner said, acknowledging differences. 

Cantor also has said publicly that he would support Boehner for speaker if Republicans seize the majority. 

A GOP leadership aide said Boehner is not worried. 

The Republican leader has stayed consistently visible and relevant in recent weeks, driving debate during the congressional recess and challenging the Obama administration. 

When Vice President Biden delivered a speech touting the stimulus last month, Boehner used his address that day to call for President Obama to fire his economic team. Other Republicans have since echoed that demand. 

And before Obama delivered his Oval Office address Tuesday marking the end of combat operations in Iraq, Boehner delivered an Iraq war address before the American Legion convention in Milwaukee. He called for the president to avoid "arbitrary deadlines" for withdrawal in Afghanistan, something other Republicans repeated after Obama delivered his speech. 

But sitting lawmakers aren't the only ones who could be waiting in the wings. 

Some of the most prominent voices in the Republican Party this season are on the campaign trail, several on the Senate side -- Republican Senate nominee Marco Rubio in Florida, Republican Senate nominee Rand Paul in Kentucky and Republican Senate nominee Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania. 

Chip Saltsman, former campaign manager for 2008 presidential candidate Mike Huckabee, cited all three conservatives in describing the new face of the GOP. 

"We're seeing a different type of candidate," he said, noting that the resounding theme of their campaigns is fiscal conservatism, government restraint and job creation. "The country's just about had enough and I think that's why you're going to see a new face of Republican politics out there, and it's one of fiscal control." 

He said candidates like Paul and Rubio would "lead that charge" in November. 

Dozens of new Republicans could enter on the House side. McLean said the changing makeup could pose a serious problem for sitting Republican leaders. 

"The most endangered incumbent this year is really John Boehner, the House Republican leaders, because I think as you see a lot more of the Tea Party candidates come into their caucus, when they go to their leadership elections, they're not going to stand with establishment leadership," she said.

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

01 September 2010

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21 August 2010

Now They are Listening to the People: Rank and File Democrats are Tripping Over Themselves to Get Away From Their Voting Records

Here are two great articles about rank and file Congressional Democrats who are running scared over their voting records, especially the bailouts and healthcare reform.  Another great example of why listening to the voters after the fact can be hazardous to one’s political health.  Voters are angry over what the Democrats have jammed down their throats and the holier than thou aristocratic way it was done.  Now that they are finally listening to the voters, too little too late in many cases, Democrats are astounded by the reactions and are scrambling to wrap themselves in conservative clothing while distancing themselves from their votes. 

I predict this will be the most unsuccessful wolf in sheep’s clothing political maneuvers in American History.  The voters are seeing right through them and don’t want another two years, or more, of being told they won’t know how good a piece of legislation is until it is passed and implemented.  It  looks like the Democrats have underestimated how far they can degrade and push voters around and will pay dearly with it come November.

There are several great lessons that can be learned by political candidates everywhere.   One, don’t push through highly unpopular legislation with an arrogant and dismissive attitude. This only angers and irritates voters.   Two, make a strong, logical argument for the legislation while listening to voters’ concerns and disagreements.  Voters don’t want to be whitewashed and talked down to and don’t respond well when that happened. Three, no amount of third world strongman rhetoric meets Madison Avenue propaganda style publicity blitz will effectively turn the tide of heavy voter disapproval no matter how often you push it.  Voters know snake oil when they see it no matter how pretty the packaging is.  Four, you may be able to get into power and try these three things once.  But come the next election, there will be a great deal of former elected officials standing in the unemployment.

Endangered Dems quiet on key votes  http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0810/41207.html

Dems retreat on health care cost pitch http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0810/41271.html

Posted via email from Conservative Dynamics

12 August 2010

Things are Looking Good for November: Poll Shows GOP Tide Starting to Roll

More good news for conservatives in November and the direction of the country.  This is really no surprise with all of the arrogance shown by liberal Democrats and their leaders over the past 20 months or so and the avalanche of bad press that has hit in the last month or more.  Reid’s comments about Hispanics and the Republican Party, Rangle and Waters’ ethics violations (and subsequent up yours, bring it on attitudes), Rangel’s defiant rant on the House floor, and Michelle’s “Marie Antoinette” Spanish vacation and general attitude about it are all coming home to roost.  People are sick and tired of those in Washington D.C. thinking they are the aristocracy of America.  They have forgotten that they work for We the People.  Now it looks like they are going to pay the price for their attitudes and behavior.  This should also serve as a warning of those who are battling to be elected in these people’s place.  If you act the same way, We the People will get rid of you too.  We are sick and tired of our elected officials who do not do the will of the people.  Do the will of the people, get out of the way, or get run over.

Poll Shows GOP Tide Starting to Roll

Lee Ross | August 11, 2010

http://politics.blogs.foxnews.com/2010/08/11/poll-shows-gop-tide-starting-roll#ixzz0wPB4RQSI

By most historical metrics it would seem impossible for Republicans who currently hold 41 seats in the U.S. Senate to win enough races in November--with only 37 seats are up for grabs-- to take control of the chamber, but a new poll shows GOP candidates in 13 battleground states holding a collective commanding edge over their Democratic counterparts.

The eight-point spread is a considerable advantage 84 days until the election.

The poll was conducted by Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies and commissioned by American Crossroads, a group headed by Fox News Contributor Karl Rove and former RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie. It is not a generic ballot poll which asks respondents about their party preference but rather mentioned specific candidates by name. The 47% - 39% margin comes from polls in 13 battleground states: Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Washington.

"The landscape that has tilted so dramatically toward Republicans in the House is continuing to move in a dramatic way on the Senate side as well," said American Crossroads communications director Jonathan Collegio in a statement announcing the results. "People often think that only House races can get swept up in an electoral wave, but this survey shows that Senate may very well get swept over in the same wave."

Perhaps the data that most suggests a huge wave of support for Republican candidates is the support for GOP nominees from Independent voters who say they favor Republicans 47%-25%.

According to its website, the mission of American Crossroads is to "make Main Street values-individual liberty, limited government, free enterprise and strong national security-once again the top priorities and guiding ethic of American governance."

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